Tim Lawson’s ITV Horse Racing Tips, Saturday 19/05/2018

There are 6 decent races on ITV today plus one 3 runner farce, so while most of you will of course be glued to the Royal Wedding (joke), the die-hards will be getting their bets on.

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Now, back to our professional tips for today.

Sat 19 – Newbury and Newmarket (Day 2) – ITV4

NEWBURY
13:50 The Shalaa Carnavon Stakes (Listed Race)

This race is between Eqtidaar and Murillo. Both still have something to prove and therefore the current price for both horses has factored this in. Eqtidaar has posted the best speed figure for this trip but has never ran on GF. Whereas Murillo has posted an OK speed figure on the going but failed to win 3 times at the trip (but in higher class). The question is, who can improve in todays conditions and the answer is Eqtidaar. At 10/3, the price is padded enough if he cant handle the firmer going.

EQTIDAAR – 10/3

14.25 The Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park Stakes) (Group 3)

I would like to propose Second Step at 5/1  as the value bet here, but Roger Charlton stable just doesn’t seem to be firing on all cyclinders at the moment. Therefore, Cyrstal Ocean is the unoriginal selection.

CYRSTAL OCEAN 4/7

15.00 The Al Zubarah London Gold Cup Handicap Stakes

No strong opinion on this race but will side with the current favourite Masaarr even if on high mark. Improving and extra trip may suit.

MASAARR 3/1

15:40 The Al Shaqab Lonckinge Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)

This looks like an open race but as you may have guessed from previous posts, I am a huge fan of Aidan O’Brien and he may have found the perfect race for Rhododendron today. He blew off the cobwebs in his seasonal reappearance and he should be there or thereabouts at the end. 7/2 represents a decent price for this class act.

RHODODENDRON 7/2

NEWMARKET
14.05 The Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed Race)

Terrible three runner listed race here and we cannot place an odds on bet on Old Persian so we are going with the unexposed potential improver, Department of War.

DEPARTMENT OF WAR 3/1

14.40 The Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race)

None really stand out here. Mutaaqeb is the classiest horse in the race but will it be race fit to win or will it handle the going. We think it has the best chance and still very much unexposed.

MUTAAQEB 4/1

15.15 The Betway Handicap Stakes

I saw a tissue price of 6/1 for Tricksy Spirit which made me look away, but now after checking the current price of 10/1 this now makes it a perfectly fine value bet. Up 3lbs from last run where it won narrowly, but he is still improving and with three front runners in this race today, the pace will play to his strength.

TRICKSY SPIRIT 10/1

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Previous Winners (Advised Prices)

12th May
Tomyris 11/2 1st
8th May
Wuheida 10/11 1st
Gifted Master 12/1 1st
7th May
Alpha Delphini 7/1 3rd
Saxon Warrior 7/2 1st
Isabel De Urbina 15/2 1st
April 28th
0/6
April 21st
Theinval 5/1 1st
Bigmartre 4/1 1st
Defoe 5/4 1st
Dance Diva 14/1 3rd
Gabrial 25/1 4th (placed)
19th April
Masar 9/2 1st
14th April
Black Op 3/1 1st
Anibale Fly 12/1 4th (placed)
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