It’s been a vintage year, so far, for EveryTip’s Seymour Biz. He has picked out 82 runners and has had 19 winners, giving a £1 level stakes return of £127-50 and a profit of £45-50 for single bets. As to multiple bets, depending on the number of runners each week (eg. 4 runners Lucky Fifteen, 3 runners Patent, 2 runners Double and Singles), there has been a total of 270 bets and with £1 as the base for multiples the return has been £336.25 – giving a profit of £66.25. Those returns come from backing the selections at SP! Here’s his views on Saturday’s top contests. Find all previous UK racing previews in his weekly column: Saturday Horse Racing Tips.
Two superb midsummer meetings to look forward to on the television this weekend, but if you can get along to Sandown it’s worth the entrance fee alone just to see Enable. She contests the Coral-Eclipse and it looks like she may have a couple of this year’s top youngsters as contenders. She can also expect to face some top class 4-year-olds including two or three from Aidan O’Brien’s outfit who won’t have everything their own way as they did at the Curragh last week. The whole card is sponsored by Coral and starts with a sprint, which I love, then a fine handicap as a prelude to the big one, it promises to be some day. In the North-West, Haydock puts on a fine card sponsored by bet365, the highlight of which is the Old Newton Cup. Some top mile and a half handicappers will be in attendance, the race is always a great spectacle. The Lancashire Oaks is also on the card and Klassique looks an exciting entrant, she is a course and distance winner from last month when she beat the classy True Self and is expected to find her way back to the winners enclosure at this meeting. The card starts with a long distance handicap and here are my thoughts on that and the other value bets for the day.
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The 2.05 at Haydock is the bet365 Handicap over 1m 6f and Mark Johnson is showing a strong hand here with four runners. Mind The Crack looks the classiest of these with two wins this year including a victory here at Haydock in early June. Sir Ron Priestley vies with him for favouritism but he ran poorly at Ascot and was behind Summer Moon who won at York and Windsor earlier in the season. Johnson’s fourth runner is Themaxwecan who won on the all-weather in January but has been unable to win since. However he has been highly tried and is not without a chance against these rivals. Richard Fahey sends out Arctic Fox against the Johnson battalions. This classy handicapper comes out to try and complete a four-timer but he is stepping up in class and is meeting some Listed class horses for the first time. With that in mind I will side with Themaxwecan after his 7 length loss to Dashing Willoughby at Royal Ascot.
The Old Newton Cup at 3.15 has always been a great betting race and this year’s renewal looks no exception. Heading the betting is Al Muffrih trained by William Haggas, a winner last time out at Redcar where he coped well with the undulating course. Top weight is John Gosden’s First Eleven who won well at York in May on his only outing this season. I find that something of a concern and wonder why he is so lightly raced after running six times last year plus a 5lb penalty for that win puts me off him despite his obvious class. Tom Dascombe’s Epaulement ran poorly in Al Muffrih’s race at Redcar when trying to keep up with the early pace but he won here last June and his win at Ripon in April when making all was impressive, so I put that defeat down to the track and give him another chance here. I will also mention Bombyx trained by James Fanshawe who ran well at Leicester last month until bumped a furlong out, he can hit the frame at a nice price.
Moving south to Sandown, the first race on the card is the Coral Charge at 1.50. I love these 5 furlong sprints and now at this time of the season they are all aged so the 3-year-olds are meeting their elders. And talking of elders Caspian Prince and Muthmir take their chance aged 10 and 9 respectively, as they have to give weight to their juniors I cannot rate their chances highly. Aidan O’Brien sends over Sergei Prokofiev, a dual Listed winner, who ran poorly in the King’s Stand at Ascot. The rain that day put paid to his chances as the 6/4 favourite and he is fancied to bounce back from that. Garrus from Charlie Hills’ yard goes for a hat-trick, his latest win at York in May was a fine effort when the grey stepped up in class. Another who won last time is Kurious, who beat The Cruising Lord at Sandown, the filly was ridden more positively on this latest outing and using the same tactics can run into a place, but it’s another O’Brien victory for me.
At 2.25 is the Coral Challenge, a one mile handicap. Sir Michael Stoute has Quaroun here, he has been tried on the all-weather running second on both occasions latterly at Newcastle last week, he comes back to the turf after dropping in the handicap. Key Victory has top weight after his run in the Royal Hunt Cup and trainer Charlie Appleby is very bullish about his chances. Also he conforms with a tipping system. (Back 4-year olds carrying top weight in a handicap). But he has too much weight for me. Mojito was a prolific winner in 2017 but he hasn’t run since October that year so must have had his problems, he is best watched. History Writer from David Menuisier’s yard is well fancied after his victory here in June and the trainer stating he showed improved form as he likes the course. But the one I prefer is Greenside who was fourth behind History Writer that day. Henry Candy’s charge has a 7lb pull since that defeat, more than enough to reverse those placings. He is a course and distance winner and has the ability to take this.
Saturday Lucky 15
2.05 Haydock. Themaxwecan
3.15 Haydock. Epaulement
1.50 Sandown. Sergei Prokofiev
2.25 Sandown. Greenside