Saturday Horse Racing Preview & Tips – 10th October– Seymour Biz

saturday horse racing tips and previews from expert tipster seymour biz on everytipFind all previous Seymour Biz racing previews in his weekly column: Saturday Horse Racing Tips.

We have two televised flat meetings this Saturday and it’s a day dominated by the Cesarewitch at Newmarket, a race that heralds the end of the season. The card from HQ also features the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes backed up by two more 2-year-old Group races meaning the youngsters feature in three of the four televised races.

Top 2 Betting Sites With Great New Sign-up Offers

The other meeting is at York and they too feature a 2-year-old listed race, the Rockingham Stakes, but thank goodness, their card is backed up with a couple of televised handicaps giving us an opportunity to find some value amongst the older horses. Still no sign of the public being allowed into racecourses and for the life of me, I cannot understand why. They could put a limit on admissions then these people would be spread predominantly outside over several acres.

Added to this, restaurants are open in the High Street with social distancing. Why can’t the huge grandstand restaurants do the same? It is nothing like people in a large sports stadium such as a soccer ground where there is no opportunity to move around. This does not bode well for our sport and I wonder if some of our rule makers have ever visited a racecourse.

So, back to this week’s racing, and I have looked for some value at the two meetings for Saturday’s Lucky Fifteen, and here are my thoughts.

Saturday Lucky Fifteen

  • 2. 00 York. Legal Attack
  • 2. 35 York. Spirit Dancer
  • 3. 10 York. Bielsa
  • 3. 35 Newmarket. Lynwood Gold

Bet this lucky 15 now on Bet365

Beginning at York with the Coral.co.UK Rockingham Stakes at 2.00 where William Haggas sends the Queen’s Light Refrain for her fifth run of the season after she finally got her head in front last time at Newcastle. The filly won easily on the all-weather, after dropping back to 6f. However, that was a pretty weak contest and she may find this as a harder nut to crack.

Tom Dascombe’s Harmony Lil has won her last two, both at Chester where she seemed to relish the tight turns and short run-in. York is a different course altogether. Blackrod from Michael Dods stable won at Hamilton last time but this major step up into Listed company may be a step too far.

Richard Fahey’s International dream has run consistently well, all season and he looks like he will make the frame once again but my idea of the winner is Simon and Ed Crisford’s Legal Attack, who after winning at Newmarket in July, went to Chantilly to run in a Group3. He came up against a top-class rival that day and had to settle for the second place. He can go one better here.

At 2.35 is the Coral Beaten by A Length Free Bet Handicap at just over 1m 2f. At the head of the handicap is Keith Dalgleish’s, What’s The Story, who won twice here at York last year over a mile. He has been trying his luck in Listed company without success and looks too high in the weights for me.

Fox Power from Richard Hannon’s yard was successful on the all-weather last year and his runs on turf this year have been rather poor, so I must pass him over. Iconic Choice won at Newmarket last week, but Tom Dascombe’s filly may find this a tougher race.

Ilaraab from William Haggas’s yard is the justifiable favourite with his run of four victories, but he has more weight to carry here and I think his excellent run may come to an end. I like Sir Michael Stoute’s Crystal Pegasus, who has two wins under his belt but he steps up a class here and may have to settle for a place. I go for the bottom of the handicap and big-priced Spirit Dancer.

Richard Fahey’s colt comes into this 4lbs better off than anything else in the field and a whopping 23lbs less than What’s The Story. He won his maiden at Ripon on soft going in August and since then has run a very good second at AYR after a sustained battle with the eventual winner. He can go one better here.

I really enjoy a big sprint handicap and I don’t think I will be disappointed by the Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap at 3.10. Joint top weight here is the classy Mr Lupton from Richard Fahey’s yard, a Group winner last year. He ran a fine third in the AYR Gold Cup three weeks ago and had several of these behind him and in most cases, I would expect him to confirm those placings.

But there is one horse who seemed unlucky that day and that is Kevin Ryan’s Bielsa, who raced alone on the stand’s side but still managed to finish a close up ninth, I give him another chance.

Gulliver won this last year for David O’Meara, but he has a couple of pounds more on his back this time and he brings some pretty poor form to the table. Another Ryan runner Magical Spirit won the Silver Cup at AYR and I expect him to go well here but I think the handicapper has his measure.

Second to him at AYR was Admiralty, who added that race to his string of runner-up spots. Roger Fell’s gelding deserves a victory and he is 7lbs better off with Magical Spirit than he was at AYR, but he may have to settle for a place slot again behind another Ryan horse, Bielsa.

Moving to Newmarket for the Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Handicap at 3.35. Here, we have a race won by Willie Mullins on the last two occasions and he sends a smart Galway hurdle winner as his representative this year. That horse is Great White Shark who will be fit after that victory at the end of July but she ran poorly in this last year and although she has 3lbs less than she had then others make more appeal.

Mark Johnson has the top weight, Summer Moon, who was third in this last year. He won at York in August but has 9lb more than he carried last year. Hughie Morrison’s, Not So Sleepy, has had just one run this year, a victory in August but he has a 4lb penalty for that win.

Rajinsky has been knocking on the door all season for Tom Dascombe, but was disappointing last time at Haydock and has yet to tackle this distance. Coltrane from Andrew Balding’s stable has rattled up a hat-trick of wins and is highly fancied but is another who is unused to this distance.

Besides Mullins’s challenger, there are plenty of other Irish entries, Gavin Cromwell has four contenders, the best of which could be Whirling Dervish. But it’s another Irish entrant I like and that is Mrs John Harrington’s Lynwood Gold. He won at the Curragh in July and lately ran an excellent second over hurdles at Listowel. When asked to carry lumps of weight, he will be fit from that and ready for this.

Saturday Lucky Fifteen

  • 2. 00 York. Legal Attack
  • 2. 35 York. Spirit Dancer
  • 3. 10 York. Bielsa
  • 3. 35 Newmarket. Lynwood Gold

Bet this lucky 15 now on Bet365

Related Reading