Mud, glorious mud… It’s not what we usually associate with Goodwood, in the balmy months, but the British weather will always do as it pleases. The rain-clouds haven’t stopped Seymour Biz from enjoying this week’s selection of elite contests in West Sussex and he’s picked out another quartet for your Saturday Lucky 15. Find all previous UK racing previews in his weekly column: Saturday Horse Racing Tips.
We come to the final day of Glorious Goodwood on Saturday but from what I’ve seen up to now it’s been more gloomy than anything else. But the weather has not put a stop to some wonderful action thank goodness. The great racing carries on into Saturday with the top class fillies and mares in the Lily Langtry and Oaks fourth Manuela De Vega looks the one for me when she steps up to 1m 6f. But the card has three great handicaps including the Stewards Cup Consolation race and the Stewards Cup itself, both notoriously difficult races to judge. These 6f races are backed up by the Summer Cup Handicap over 1m 6f and the last four winners of that have been 11/1 or higher. To complete the televised meetings the cameras are at Newmarket for a couple of races including a really tricky nursery handicap. So we should have the opportunity to look for some big priced winners, there is plenty of value in these races and here are my thoughts for this week’s Lucky 15.
The first race at Goodwood is at 1.50 and is the Qatar Stewards Sprint Handicap, which is a consolation for those horses that didn’t make it into the Stewards Cup proper. It has had some top class winners in the past including Hoof It and Golden Steps and I think we should be looking at those near the top of the weights. Richard Fahey has the two top weighted in Gabriel The Saint and Brian The Snail, the former is something of a Chester specialist while the latter has struggled in this company. Blue De Vega trained by Robert Cowell won a top class race at Ascot last July but has struggled this term. Puds is well fancied after winning over 5f here at Goodwood in May for trainer Richard Hughes. But she has been runner up twice when trying 6f again at this course. She may well have to settle for a place once again. Count Otto has jumped up the handicap after his win at Epsom in early July and the penalty may be too much for Amanda Perrett’s gelding. My preference is for Scott Dixon’s Dark Shot who has been runner-up on no fewer than four times in six outings this year. He has been highly tried and fully deserves to get his head in front in a major handicap.
At 2.25 we have the Qatar Summer Handicap with King’s Advice at the top of the betting. Mark Johnson is in stunning form and this horse has only had his colours lowered once in eight outings this season. His latest victory was at Newmarket where he had a couple of these behind him as he did when winning over the course and distance in May and he should confirm the placings over What A Welcome and Desert Skyline. Corgi ran well last time out behind Baghdad at Royal Ascot where he was beaten only three lengths, he is lightly raced this year. Bartholomeu Dias has been running well for Charles Hills this season but that has been on the all-weather and Goowood’s lush turf could be a different proposition. Alan King sends his top rated all-weather runner Scarlet Dragon here but he was beaten 17 lengths at York recently and is probably best watched. So I think the race is between Corgi and King’s Advice and I will go for the latter to add another victory to his tally.
We come to the Unibet Stewards Cup at 3.40 with 28 runners spread across the Sussex Downs. Charles Hills has the top weight with Vanbrugh who won first time out this year at Thirsk but ran poorly in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot. Several of these ran in that race and the closest to the winner was Robert Cowell’s Raucous who was fourth. Behind him were the likes of Summerghand, Gunmetal and Lake Volta and the one I fancy to improve on that run is Summerghand. DavidO’Meara’s gelding won five times last year and has been placed three times out of four starts this year after moving up in class. He has not run since the beginning of July when third at Haydock, he was due to run at Ascot last week but has been kept back for this. Just behind him in the Wokingham was Gunmetal and David Barron has not run the grey since but I think Summerghand can confirm the placings.
Moving north to Newmarket we have the European Bloodstock News British EBF Fillies Nursery Handicap at 2.40. Judging by the betting this is a really open contest and the current favourite is Bredenbury from David Simcock’s yard. She was behind Raffle Prize her at the July Meeting after previously winning at Brighton. Top weight is Know No Limits who made all round the tight turns of Chester last time. It is trainer Tom Dascombe’s home course, but she won’t have it all her own way here. Mark Johnson’s Rose Of Kildare started this year with two wins in May but has been unable to win since stepping up in class. It is also a step up for Richard Fahey’s Three Coins. On her only try at this level she was beaten 15 lengths. Mick Channon has Go Well Spicy, she is another who has good form in lower class races but struggled at Haydock last time. Rosadora won over this distance on the all-weather at Lingfield in June, since then she came here to run in a Listed race at the end of last month finishing fourth. Latterly, she was beaten only a head at Doncaster, she has the class to take this.
LUCKY 15 TIPS
1.50 Goodwood. Dark Shot
2.25 Goodwood. King’s Advice
3.40 Goodwood. Summerghand
2.40 Newmarket. Rosadora