Saturday Horse Racing Preview & Tips – 5th September – Seymour Biz

saturday horse racing tips and previews from expert tipster seymour biz on everytipFind all previous Seymour Biz racing previews in his weekly column: Saturday Horse Racing Tips.

This is my favourite weekend of the whole flat season and in any normal year I would be at Haydock Park for their only Group 1 of the year as I have been since the race was called the Vernon’s Sprint and Lester Piggott was riding the winners. But it’s not to be and I will have to settle down in front of the TV like millions of others and enjoy the offerings from ITV racing and what a Saturday it promises to be.

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They are covering three meetings at Ascot, Haydock and Kempton and unusually Ascot is the secondary meeting, it features three cracking handicaps (count how may times Jason Weaver says ‘cracking’ during the day) for us to get our teeth into and there looks to be plenty of value on the card.

Kempton has two Group races televised, one of which sees the final run in the UK of Enable before the mare heads to Longchamp to try to win her third Arc and the Group 3 September Stakes should be the veritable walk in the park for her. But the meeting of the day is at Haydock with no fewer than five races being broadcast and the whole afternoon centres around the Sprint Cup where Kevin Ryan’s Hello Youmzain bids to become the first horse to retain the crown since Be Friendly in the 1960’s. While I expect him to put up a bold show, Jim Crowley in those blue colours has been carrying all before him and Tabdeed may take his first Group 1. The rest of the card consists of a Group 3 mile where My Oberon may be the answer and three great handicaps. So with no fewer than six great handicaps to chose from for this week’s Lucky Fifteen I have trawled them for value and here are my thoughts for the best bets on the televised races.

Saturday Lucky Fifteen

  • 3.05 Ascot. Shandoz
  • 3.40 Ascot. May Sonic
  • 4.15 Ascot. Raising Sand
  • 2.50 Haydock. Cape Coast

Bet this lucky 15 with the best odds on Bet365

Beginning with the first of Ascot’s three handicaps, at 3.05 we have the Lavazza Stakes a heritage handicap run over 1m 4f. At the top of the weights is Sir Michael Stoute’s My Frankel, a winner of both his starts this season the latest on the all-weather at Kempton but these were pretty mediocre affairs and the colt is stepping up in class here. Also at the head of the weights is Brian Meehan’s Cepheus who looked a handy sort when winning at Goodwood last time out, but he seems a top of the ground horse and the penalty he has for that victory may be too much. John Gosden’s Grand Bazaar has run consistently well this season in lower grade contests and looks one quite capable of making the frame once again. William Haggas has a nice pair in the race, A StarAbove and Al Qaqaa, and the latter looks the most interesting. After winning at Newmarket he went off as short priced favourite in Cepheus’s race but after leading 2f out he faded to finish fourth, he will have learned from that. I like the look of Shandoz trained by Roger Varian who won here over course and distance last month when beating Grand Bazaar in a fighting finish, he has a 4lb penalty for that win but he is an improver so that should be no problem for him to prevail here.

At 3.40 is the Tweenhills Follow The Foals Handicap, a 6 furlong contest. Heading the weights here is David O’Meara’s Gulliver who has had a busy year with no fewer than eight outings after winning on the all-weather at Southwell in January. He has been unsuccessful since but remains a class horse in this company however he is highly weighted. Another who has proved expensive to follow is Spanish City who has failed to taste victory since August last year, he ran a great third at Royal Ascot in June but his form has dipped since. Joseph Tuite’s Kimifive is another who has flattered to deceive, after running a great second at Goodwood he went to Ripon with every chance but flopped miserably. I must go for Charles Hills’s May Sonic to complete his hat-trick he has been raised steadily in class and although he has also gone up the handicap I consider it entirely possible he can make this race a stepping stone to entirely better things.

The Porche Handicap is at 4.15 and near the top of the weights is Ascot specialist Raising Sand trained by Jamie Osborne. He has won four times on this course and twice over this distance, Osborne has had his eye on this race for sometime and has given Raising Sand an easy season with just one outing in the Royal Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot where he ran a creditable eighth. He drops back to his preferred 7f and looks the pick of the lineup. Accidental Agent from Eve Johnson Houghton’s yard carries top weight is a class act who seems to have gone off the boil, he has been running in top class company but appears to have too much weight here. Blue Mist won here in July for trainer Roger Charlton his first win for two years, but he has a 5lb penalty for that win which may hold him back. Revich is on a hat-trick for trainer Richard Spencer but those wins have both come on the tight left-hand turns of Chester and the sweeping right hand turns and open spaces of Ascot may not suit. A lively outsider may be Arbalet who has dropped down the handicap after a succession of poor runs but trainer David O’Meara has tried to freshen the grey up by running him on the all-weather, he may well run into a place at a nice price.

Moving to Haydock for the Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap at 2.50 where Tim Easterby has the favourite and top weight Glencadam Glory. He finds himself in at the top of the market after his fine second in the Ebor but I have a worry about his weight. Euchen Glen is another who put in a fine run at York finishing fifth for trainer Jim Goldie but he has failed to win for two years after missing all last season. Rhythmic Intent has some fine form this season with two wins from four outings, Stuart Williams’s colt latest victory at Newbury was very impressive but this is a step up in class for Williams’s star. Mark Johnson has Cape Coast in the lineup and he has shown fine form in his two races this season, his first runs since 2017, and although this contest looks hotter than anything he has faced to date he looks well over any problems he may have had in the past. Dark Jedi is another Tim Easterby contender and after his two victories earlier in the season he has been moved up in class and performed creditably at York last time, he may make the frame. Another worth a mention is Tom Dascombe’s Rajinsky who has been runner up on his last three outings, Dascombe loves Haydock and may have Rajinsky primed for this at a nice price but I will just give Cape Coast the nod.

Saturday Lucky Fifteen

  • 3.05 Ascot. Shandoz
  • 3.40 Ascot. May Sonic
  • 4.15 Ascot. Raising Sand
  • 2.50 Haydock. Cape Coast

Bet this lucky 15 with the best odds on Bet365

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