Find all previous Seymour Biz racing previews in his weekly column: Saturday Horse Racing Tips.
Two of the top courses in the country feature on the ITV this Saturday with four races being televised from Newbury and three from Newmarket.
William Haggas’s Baaeed won all six of his races as a three-year-old and goes for his seventh win in the Lockinge at Newbury prior to running probably at Royal Ascot. Also on the Newbury card is the London Gold Cup and a couple of Class 1 Stakes races.
At Newmarket, there are a couple of tasty handicaps and a Listed race with several three-year-olds looking to enhance their reputations. So I have looked through the fields for value and here are my thoughts for this week’s Lucky Fifteen.
Saturday Lucky Fifteen
2.25 Newmarket. Haymaker
3.00 Newmarket. Wizard d’Amour
1.35 Newbury. Cadamosto
2.45 Newbury. Inverness
Bet this lucky 15 now on Bet365
Beginning at Newmarket with the 2.25, the TRU7 Handicap, a 6f dash down the Rowley Mile. The favourite here looks to be Roger Varian’s Lir Speciale who is looking to add to his tally after his victory at Doncaster last month.
Charlie and Mark Johnson’s I’m A Gambler comes with a 6lbs penalty after winning at Hamilton last Sunday.
Another who won last time is River Pride from Richard Hannon’s yard. He made all that day at the beginning of the month, but those front running tactics may not see him home here.
At the bottom of the handicap is Hughie Morrison’s Haymaker who won here a fortnight ago. He looks to have improved immeasurably since his two-year-old days and has grown into himself, off his low weight he can carry on improving and take this.
At 3.00 we have the Birketts LLP Handicap run over 7 furlongs. Stuart Williams’s Humanitarian is at the top of the weights but this lightly raced gelding seems to be too high in the handicap to me. He was in seventh place behind Andrew Balding’s Shine So Bright last time here at Newmarket and Balding’s horse looks to have every chance to continue his winning ways.
Kevin Burke’s Wizard d’Amour was second in that race and has a 9lbs pull with the winner, he can go close here.
Charlie Appleby’s Quintilllus is fancied after winning here last August but he went to Dubai in February and flopped. I think he is best watched on his first run of the season in the UK.
I like Simon and Ed Crisford’s Saleymm who was second in the Lincoln at Doncaster and then ran a fair fourth in the Spring Cup at Newbury, he will be in the mix.
So I am between Saleymm, Shine So Bright and Wizard d’Amour and it’s the latter who just about gets the nod from me.
Moving across to Newbury and at 1.35 we have the BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes, a 6-furlong sprint, where Aidan O’Brien has a runner, Cadamosto, and his horses are always to be respected after what he showed at Chester.
Cadamosto won on the all-weather at Dundalk last April in a maiden. Since then, he has had two runs in Group races a one in Listed company but has failed to shine.
Richard Hannon’s Ehraz was a poor third in a 4 runner contest at Ascot in April, a place in front of him that day was Hugo Palmer’s Hierarchy and I expect him to confirm those placings.
Tiber Flow runs for William Haggas and this colt has shown excellent form on the all-weather but it remains to be seen if he can transfer that form to the turf in Listed company.
Roger Varian’s Rizg won at Yarmouth last year and then ran second on his seasonal reappearance at Doncaster last month but this is a major step up in class.
I must side with O’Brien’s Cadamosto in what is a poor field.
The BetVictor London Gold Cup Handicap is at 2.45 run over 10 furlongs and Richard Hannon has the top weight with Razzle Dazzle who won at Newmarket over the July course last season. This season, he has run fourth there over a mile. He looks too high in the weights at present.
John Gosden runs Israr another who ran without success at Newmarket last month. He needs to show improvement here.
Surrey Mist trained by George Baker has had success on the all-weather but this is a major step up in class.
Red Vineyard won on his handicap debut at Sandown last time last month for trainers William Muir and Chris Grassick he can make the frame here.
Richard Spencer’s Mr Big Stuff has done all his racing in classes lower than this and would need to show drastic improvement.
I like Charles Hills’ Inverness who won his maiden at Goodwood last September. Since then, he ran sixth in a Listed race at Epsom but he kept on in the final furlong He looks the one to be on.
Saturday Lucky Fifteen
2.25 Newmarket. Haymaker
3.00 Newmarket. Wizard d’Amour
1.35 Newbury. Cadamosto
2.45 Newbury. Inverness
Bet this lucky 15 now on Bet365
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