In the following post, I hope to explain how to find and lay horse racing false favourites using ratings. Actually, to be more precise, I will identify false favourites for laying within in a matter of minutes, using the most accurate speed ratings you can find today.
14 years ago I was one of the first to launch a lay betting service (I was a 20-year-old computer science nerd!) that made hundreds of people profitable for the first time in their lives. Years have passed, I have gotten older and fatter, and the industry has changed but the same principles apply to laying favourites.
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Today I will show you the following regarding false favourite horse racing:
- What races to concentrate on when finding false favourites
- What filters to apply to make your false favourete bet a certainty
- How you can apply this when false favourite betting in a matter of minutes each day
If you do not want to read my terrible scribbling please watch this quick video I made that describes the exact process I use to find false favourites daily.
Here is a recap of what I explained in the video to find false favourites using speed ratings
1. Sign up to informracing.com (to avail of the best UK speed ratings)
2. Concentrate on handicap races only where every runner in the race has won at least once in their career to increase your chances of finding the best false favourite
3. Make a note of all runners in the inform rating that have a top 3 master rating and those that have a top 3 master + average rating
4. Look at the Betfair market 15 minutes before the race. Identify the horses that are less than 5.0 in the betting market and do not have a top 3 master rating or a top 3 master + average rating
5. Finally analyse the horses using the in-depth form tables to see if the horse has won on the going or the course direction (left or right-handed). If they fail one of these filters then the horse is definitely a false favourite as long as it falls under 5.0.
In the race example above I showed you how to find a false favourite but the most interesting thing is I also backed the winner using another simple system based on the inform ratings. Not only that but I am able to back winners on the all weather using another system I developed through the inform racing ratings.
I cannot stress how accurate these ratings are in finding false favourites and if you are serious about betting online, but you need to start using tools that the betting public is not aware of to find value in every bet you make.
Do not be a sheep, go against the crowd and find angles others are afraid to find when looking for false favourites!
If you are new to speed ratings and favourites, then please check out this free speed ratings report here.
Happy false favourite punting!